Where A Small Shift In The Youth Vote Might Have Affected The Result In 2012

Researchers at CIRCLE estimated the number of voters under age 30 based on Census and voting data. In 29 states, they found that the youth vote in 2012 exceeded the margin of victory in that year’s presidential election. A shift in how that group voted, they argue, could have affected the ultimate result. Below, the top states in CIRCLE’s youth vote index and their ratios of youth vote to margin of victory.

[Chart]