Based on current polling

Harris: 226

Trump: 246

270 to win

146
57
66
57
65
124
Safe Dem. Likely Dem. Lean Dem. Toss-up Lean GOP Likely GOP Safe GOP
MA MN MT ND HI ID AZ CA CO NV NM OR UT WY AR IA KS MO OK SD LA TX CT NH RI VT AL FL GA MS SC IL IN KY NC OH TN VA WI WV DE DC MD NJ NY PA MI AK NE ME
What's Changed?
State Electoral votes Aug. 26 Now
Wisconsin 10 Lean Dem. Toss-up
Pennsylvania 19 Lean Dem. Toss-up
Michigan 15 Lean Dem. Toss-up
Arizona 11 Toss-up Lean GOP

Credit: Analysis by Domenico Montanaro/NPR. Graphic by Juweek Adolphe, Connie Hanzhang Jin and Alyson Hurt/NPR