Based on NPR analysis

Harris: 226

Trump: 219

270 to win

158
45
93
30
65
124
Safe Dem. Likely Dem. Lean Dem. Toss-up Lean GOP Likely GOP Safe GOP
MA MN MT ND HI ID AZ CA CO NV NM OR UT WY AR IA KS MO OK SD LA TX CT NH RI VT AL FL GA MS SC IL IN KY NC OH TN VA WI WV DE DC MD NJ NY PA MI AK NE ME
What's Changed?
State Electoral votes Aug. 5 Now
Minnesota 10 Lean Dem. Likely Dem.
Nevada 6 Lean GOP Toss-up
North Carolina 16 Lean GOP Toss-up
Georgia 16 Lean GOP Toss-up
Arizona 11 Lean GOP Toss-up
Florida 30 Likely GOP Lean GOP