The cone of uncertainty shows where the center of the storm is likely to go in the next five days.
The cone of uncertainty shows where the center of the storm is likely to go in the next five days.
On Sept. 3, Florence became a hurricane. The red area shows the maximum extent of hurricane-force winds.
The orange oval shows areas that could experience tropical storm force winds.
On Sept. 3, Florence became a hurricane. The red area shows the maximum extent of hurricane-force winds.
The orange oval shows areas that could experience tropical storm force winds.
On Sept. 12 the model indicated the storm would likely pass south of New Bern, N.C. Much of the North Carolina coast was outside the cone of uncertainty.
Two days later, Florence made landfall. While the eye of the storm did go south of New Bern, coastal flooding caused significant damage throughout the region.
Two days later, Florence made landfall. While the eye of the storm did go south of New Bern, coastal flooding caused significant damage throughout the region.
On Sept. 12 the model indicated the storm would likely pass south of New Bern, N.C. Much of the North Carolina coast was outside the cone of uncertainty.