The Difference Between Presidential Polls And Results In Key States

In key swing states, the RealClearPolitics polling averages showed greater support for Joe Biden than the election results. Nationally, President Trump has outperformed the RealClearPolitics average by 3.4 points, at latest count.

State
Polling Average
Result so far
National D+7.2 D+3.8
Arizona D+0.9 D+0.3
Florida D+0.9 R+3.3
Georgia R+1 D+0.3
Iowa R+2 R+8.2
Michigan D+4.2 D+2.8
Minnesota D+4.3 D+7.2
Nevada D+2.4 D+2.4
North Carolina R+0.2 R+1.3
Ohio R+1 R+8.2
Pennsylvania D+1.2 D+1.2
Texas R+1.3 R+5.6
Wisconsin D+6.7 D+0.7

Source: Election data from RealClearPolitics and The Associated Press, as of Nov. 18.

Credit: Jess Eng/NPR